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Crown Green Handicap

Jordan McElnay

Team: Gladstone BDivision: Division BLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

856

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

73

Matches Played

29

Wins

44

Losses

40%

Win Rate

9.0

Avg Win Margin

6.8

Avg Loss Margin

15-20

Home Record

14-24

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
54 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/3/2026

A large recent sample: 54 matches in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 33-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player6/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 73 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

12 Jul17 Jul20 Jul16 May16 Jul15 Jul12 May3 Sept-13712

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(35%)
35%
score-0.30→contribution-0.10
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
8.8
score+0.13→contribution+0.03
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.3
score+0.11→contribution+0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
40%
score-0.20→contribution-0.02
Opponent Strength(15%)
938
score-0.38→contribution-0.06
Weighted Score-0.136
Sample Size Confidence
100%(54/33 matches)
Rating946 → shrunk 946→ adjusted 865
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)821
Recency Blend40% (54 recent matches)
Final Rating847
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

29W44L73 matches·39.7% win rate
-129 since first recorded
26 Aug3 Sept3 Sept8518969411020
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Gladstone B2024–2026Division B35171848.6%
Albany2016–2023Division A1921710.5%
Albany B2016Division C128466.7%
Gladstone2018–2024Division A72528.6%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/3/2026Tony ThelwellA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision B
8/6/2026Peter McgrathA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision B
7/30/2026Wendy ThompsonH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision B
7/23/2026Mary KirbyH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision B
7/16/2026Greg Orzech **H12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
7/7/2026Dave HillA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision B
6/16/2026Wendy Thompson **A21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision B
5/28/2026Debbie Formston -wrightH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision B
5/26/2026Eddie Thomas *A18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision B
5/14/2026Stephen WheeldonH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
5/12/2026Tom Howard **A19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision B
4/28/2026Joey LewisA0-3LOSS-3LeagueDivision B
4/23/2026Joey LewisH0-15LOSS-15LeagueDivision B
4/21/2026Matthew BradyA0-15LOSS-15LeagueDivision B
4/16/2026Julie DoranH0-6LOSS-6LeagueDivision B
8/12/2025Kathy CucchiA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision B
8/7/2025Neil WrightA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
8/5/2025Stephen ThomasH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision B
7/31/2025Billy CottamA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision B
7/15/2025Kevin BodeyA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision B
7/8/2025Peter JonesH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision B
7/1/2025Kevin PulhamH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision B
6/24/2025Terry ScottH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision B
6/10/2025Kevin WalshA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision B
5/15/2025Scott NewshamA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision B
5/13/2025Michelle CaffinH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision B
8/20/2024Elaine MilliganA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision A
7/23/2024John GorrieA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision B
7/16/2024Alan HeatonH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision A
7/11/2024Wayne RobertsA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision A
7/9/2024Mark WoodH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision B
7/4/2024Kenneth WilliamsA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
7/2/2024Gary BoothA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision B
6/11/2024Kevin PulhamA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
6/4/2024Ian FordH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision B
5/28/2024Jake McelnayH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision B
5/21/2024Tommy RobertsA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision B
5/16/2024Kenneth WilliamsH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision B
8/31/2023Pater Smith JnrH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision A
8/24/2023Adam RowlandsA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision A
8/22/2023John RogersH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision A
8/17/2023Mark HadfieldH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision A
8/15/2023Jamie HankinA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision A
8/10/2023Mike CooperA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision A
7/27/2023Paul CottamH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision A
7/25/2023Steve GreenfieldH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision A
7/20/2023Mick WalshA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision A
7/13/2023Wayne JevonsA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision A
7/11/2023Ian MuskettA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision A
6/29/2023Sam ThompsonH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision A
6/13/2023Keith TullyA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision A
6/8/2023John SinkiinsonA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision A
6/1/2023Mark WarringtonH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision A
5/25/2023Anthony PattinH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision A
7/19/2018Brian KenyonH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision A
7/17/2018John BennionH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision A
6/14/2018Jim MannionA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision A
5/24/2018Neil HumphreysH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision A
8/18/2016vs Hoylake CentralA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
8/4/2016Dereck SnedkerH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
8/2/2016Gordon CapperA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
7/28/2016Len DaviesH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
7/21/2016Thomas RaybouldA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
7/14/2016Lesley QuinnH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
7/12/2016Tom RobertsA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
7/7/2016Mike RamseyH21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision C
7/5/2016Steve SherlockH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
6/9/2016Janet SnedkerA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
6/7/2016Carl MilesA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision A
5/12/2016Rob OllerheadA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision A
5/12/2016Ron WilsonH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
5/10/2016Peter LucasA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision C
4/26/2016Roy McgunigallH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision A

Current Streak

4wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

5

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

11

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WWWWL
Last 1070% win rate↑ improving
WWWWLWWWLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Joey Lewis0220%4/28/2026
Kevin Pulham11250%7/1/2025
Kenneth Williams11250%7/4/2024
Tony Thelwell101100%9/3/2026
Peter Mcgrath101100%8/6/2026
Wendy Thompson101100%7/30/2026
Mary Kirby101100%7/23/2026
Greg Orzech **0110%7/16/2026
Dave Hill101100%7/7/2026
Wendy Thompson **101100%6/16/2026
Biggest Win
Mike Ramsey (+19)7/7/2016
Heaviest Defeat
Anthony Pattin (-17)5/25/2023
Best Season
201660% · 15 matches
Worst Season
20236% · 16 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
33% → 46%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
92162 known · 11 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
3-1715% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
23-1955% win rate

By Division

Division B17-18 (49%)
Division A4-22 (15%)
Division C8-4 (67%)
Division A15.4%
4W·22L·26 played
Division B48.6%
17W·18L·35 played
Division C66.7%
8W·4L·12 played

Debut

Apr 26, 2016

Latest

Sep 3, 2026

Seasons Active

6 (10.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

12.2 (73 total)

Seasons

201620182023202420252026